Irish Premiership Predicted Table 2026/27
Irish Premiership — Updated 12 Nov 2026
Coleraine are projected to be top at the split, finishing first after 33 games in 61% of 2,000 simulations and averaging 71 points. Linfield, currently 1st, are 2nd in the projection on 68 points.
This league splits into a top and a bottom half after 33 games, and the post-split fixtures aren't set until then, so this projects the table at the split, not the final standings.
Where every club is likely to stand at the split, from 2,000 simulations of the 109 Irish Premiership fixtures still to play. Each match is played out with our score model (the one behind our match predictions), which rates teams on goals scored and conceded, adjusted for the opponents faced and weighted to recent matches, and knows nothing about injuries, transfers or managers. It starts from the points won on the pitch, so a points deduction isn't included. How the model works →
| # | Team | Proj. pts | 1st at split | Bottom 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Now 2nd, 35 pts | 71 | 61% | 0% |
| 2 | Now 1st, 36 pts | 68 | 34% | 0% |
| 3 | Now 3rd, 26 pts | 61 | 5% | 0% |
| 4 | Now 4th, 22 pts | 52 | <1% | 0% |
| 5 | Now 5th, 21 pts | 49 | <1% | 0% |
| 6 | Now 6th, 19 pts | 43 | 0% | 2% |
| 7 | Now 9th, 16 pts | 39 | 0% | 7% |
| 8 | Now 7th, 18 pts | 38 | 0% | 10% |
| 9 | Now 8th, 18 pts | 36 | 0% | 16% |
| 10 | Now 10th, 14 pts | 33 | 0% | 32% |
| 11 | Now 12th, 9 pts | 29 | 0% | 65% |
| 12 | Now 11th, 12 pts | 29 | 0% | 70% |
Proj. pts = average points across the simulations. Percentages are the share of simulations in which the club finished in that place range, matching the zones on the table; clubs level on points, goal difference and goals are split at random.