Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Track record: of 622 forecasts already played, the model's yes/no call (over or under 50%) was right in 319 (51%). How the model works →

The chance of three or more goals in each of the 113 upcoming fixtures we cover, from our score model, ranked from most to least likely. The model has 72 of them above 50%; the rest lean towards under 2.5.

Fixtures last updated 11 Nov, 18:45

Match Predictions BTTS Over 2.5 Goals Correct Score Draws Home Wins Accumulator

Kick-off	Match	Over 2.5	Model goals	Predicted score
20 Nov, 19:45	New Saints v TrefelinWelsh Premier League	81% Yes	4.0 – 0.4	3-0
15 Nov, 14:00	Wolverhampton Women v Durham WomenWomen’s Super League 2	79% Yes	2.7 – 1.5	2-1
14 Nov, 18:00	Sheffield Women v Bristol WomenWomen’s Super League 2	75% Yes	1.6 – 2.4	1-2
21 Nov, 15:00	West Ham v PrestonChampionship	73% Yes	2.7 – 1.1	2-1
21 Nov, 12:30	Norwich v CardiffChampionship	72% Yes	2.2 – 1.5	2-1
13 Nov, 19:45	Crusaders v CarrickIrish Premiership	71% Yes	1.7 – 2.0	1-2
14 Nov, 13:30	Chelsea Women v Manchester City WomenWomen’s Super League	70% Yes	2.1 – 1.5	2-1
20 Nov, 19:45	Briton Ferry v Holywell TownWelsh Premier League	70% Yes	2.6 – 1.0	2-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Stirling v Elgin CityScottish League Two	69% Yes	1.7 – 1.9	1-2
20 Nov, 19:45	Flint Town Utd v CambrianWelsh Premier League	69% Yes	2.2 – 1.4	2-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Carlisle v BostonNational League	69% Yes	2.4 – 1.1	2-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Yeovil v BorehamNational League	67% Yes	1.5 – 1.9	1-2
17 Nov, 19:45	Tonbridge v CheshamNational League South	67% Yes	2.3 – 1.2	2-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Scunthorpe v WorthingNational League	66% Yes	1.5 – 2.0	1-2
20 Nov, 19:45	Cardiff Met v AmmanfordWelsh Premier League	66% Yes	2.5 – 0.9	2-0
20 Nov, 19:45	Llandudno v BarryWelsh Premier League	66% Yes	1.5 – 1.9	1-2
14 Nov, 15:00	Edinburgh City v ClydeScottish League Two	66% Yes	1.6 – 1.8	1-2
14 Nov, 15:00	Southend v AldershotNational League	65% Yes	2.2 – 1.2	2-1
21 Nov, 15:00	Coventry v Crystal PalacePremier League	64% Yes	2.2 – 1.1	2-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Wycombe v HuddersfieldLeague One	64% Yes	1.5 – 1.8	1-2
15 Nov, 14:00	Nottingham Women v Leicester WomenWomen’s Super League 2	64% Yes	2.3 – 1.0	2-1
21 Nov, 12:30	Southampton v DerbyChampionship	64% Yes	2.4 – 0.9	2-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Tottenham Women v Everton WomenWomen’s Super League	63% Yes	2.0 – 1.3	2-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Forfar v SpartansScottish League Two	63% Yes	1.5 – 1.8	1-2
21 Nov, 17:45	Dundee FC v Heart of MidlothianScottish Premiership	63% Yes	1.6 – 1.7	1-2
14 Nov, 15:00	Milton Keynes v BurtonLeague One	62% Yes	2.0 – 1.2	2-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Rochdale v YorkLeague Two	62% Yes	1.6 – 1.6	1-2
13 Nov, 19:45	Coleraine v PortadownIrish Premiership	62% Yes	2.4 – 0.8	2-0
17 Nov, 19:45	Truro v BillericayNational League South	62% Yes	1.6 – 1.5	2-1
22 Nov, 12:00	Burnley v BlackburnChampionship	61% Yes	1.6 – 1.6	2-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Hornchurch v TamworthNational League	61% Yes	1.7 – 1.5	2-1
21 Nov, 15:00	Celtic v St. MirrenScottish Premiership	60% Yes	2.4 – 0.7	2-0
15 Nov, 14:00	West Ham Women v Charlton WomenWomen’s Super League	60% Yes	2.0 – 1.2	2-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Woking v Forest GreenNational League	60% Yes	1.7 – 1.4	2-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Rotherham v CrawleyLeague Two	60% Yes	1.9 – 1.2	2-1
15 Nov, 14:00	Aston Villa Women v Birmingham WomenWomen’s Super League	59% Yes	1.7 – 1.4	2-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Hartlepool v WealdstoneNational League	59% Yes	1.6 – 1.4	2-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Harrogate v AltrinchamNational League	58% Yes	1.7 – 1.3	2-1
14 Nov, 17:15	Brighton and Hove Women v Liverpool WomenWomen’s Super League	58% Yes	1.8 – 1.2	2-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Sutton v SolihullNational League	58% Yes	1.8 – 1.2	2-1
15 Nov, 14:00	Watford LFC v Ipswich Town LfcWomen’s Super League 2	58% Yes	1.4 – 1.6	1-2
21 Nov, 15:00	Middlesbrough v Bristol CityChampionship	58% Yes	2.1 – 0.9	2-0
20 Nov, 19:45	Airbus UK Broughton v Colwyn BayWelsh Premier League	58% Yes	1.6 – 1.4	2-1
21 Nov, 12:30	Millwall v QPRChampionship	57% Yes	1.7 – 1.3	2-1
13 Nov, 19:45	Larne v DungannonIrish Premiership	57% Yes	2.1 – 0.9	2-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Eastleigh v FyldeNational League	57% Yes	1.4 – 1.6	1-2
14 Nov, 15:00	Airdrieonians v Queen of the SouthScottish League One	57% Yes	1.8 – 1.2	2-1
21 Nov, 15:00	Kilmarnock v AberdeenScottish Premiership	57% Yes	1.6 – 1.4	2-1
14 Nov, 17:30	Hamilton v Ross CountyScottish League One	57% Yes	1.4 – 1.6	1-2
14 Nov, 15:00	Walsall v BarnetLeague Two	57% Yes	1.7 – 1.2	2-1
20 Nov, 19:45	Caernarfon v Connah's QuayWelsh Premier League	56% Yes	1.4 – 1.5	1-2
14 Nov, 15:00	Luton v CambridgeLeague One	56% Yes	1.9 – 1.1	1-0
17 Nov, 19:45	Spalding v HebburnNational League North	55% Yes	1.8 – 1.1	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Wimbledon v BlackpoolLeague One	54% Yes	1.4 – 1.5	1-2
15 Nov, 16:30	Arsenal Women v London WomenWomen’s Super League	54% Yes	1.5 – 1.4	2-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Sheffield Wednesday v PlymouthLeague One	54% Yes	1.4 – 1.4	1-2
17 Nov, 19:45	South Shields v HarboroughNational League North	54% Yes	2.0 – 0.9	1-0
17 Nov, 19:45	Bedford v ChorleyNational League North	54% Yes	1.6 – 1.3	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Bristol Rovers v ChesterfieldLeague Two	54% Yes	1.3 – 1.5	0-1
22 Nov, 16:30	Liverpool v Manchester UnitedPremier League	54% Yes	1.7 – 1.1	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Shrewsbury v OldhamLeague Two	54% Yes	2.0 – 0.8	1-0
21 Nov, 15:00	Bolton v PortsmouthChampionship	53% Yes	1.4 – 1.4	1-0
21 Nov, 20:00	Motherwell v RangersScottish Premiership	53% Yes	1.1 – 1.7	0-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Gateshead v BarrowNational League	53% Yes	1.0 – 1.8	0-1
14 Nov, 15:00	East Kilbride v AlloaScottish League One	53% Yes	1.8 – 1.0	1-0
15 Nov, 14:00	Sunderland Women v Newcastle WomenWomen’s Super League 2	52% Yes	1.3 – 1.5	0-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Livingston v GreenockScottish Championship	52% Yes	1.7 – 1.1	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Dumbarton v AnnanScottish League Two	52% Yes	1.6 – 1.2	1-0
21 Nov, 15:00	Lincoln v WrexhamChampionship	51% Yes	1.5 – 1.3	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Stockport v ReadingLeague One	51% Yes	1.5 – 1.3	1-0
21 Nov, 15:00	Hibernian v Dundee UnitedScottish Premiership	51% Yes	1.5 – 1.2	1-0
21 Nov, 15:00	Tottenham v IpswichPremier League	50% Yes	1.5 – 1.2	1-0
17 Nov, 19:45	Oxford City v MacclesfieldNational League North	50% No	1.6 – 1.1	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Swindon v GrimsbyLeague Two	50% No	1.4 – 1.3	1-0
21 Nov, 15:00	Bournemouth v NottinghamPremier League	50% No	1.6 – 1.1	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Cove v MontroseScottish League One	49% No	1.3 – 1.3	1-0
21 Nov, 15:00	Falkirk v St. JohnstoneScottish Premiership	49% No	1.5 – 1.2	1-0
14 Nov, 12:45	Manchester United Women v Crystal Palace WomenWomen’s Super League	49% No	1.6 – 1.0	1-0
21 Nov, 15:00	Aston Villa v SunderlandPremier League	49% No	1.6 – 1.0	1-0
14 Nov, 17:30	Fleetwood v TranmereLeague Two	49% No	1.5 – 1.1	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Doncaster v Leyton OrientLeague One	48% No	1.0 – 1.6	0-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Kelty v StranraerScottish League Two	48% No	1.0 – 1.6	0-1
15 Nov, 14:00	Burnley Women v Southampton WomenWomen’s Super League 2	48% No	1.0 – 1.6	0-1
21 Nov, 15:00	Sheffield United v WatfordChampionship	48% No	1.7 – 0.9	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Bromley v NottsLeague One	48% No	1.0 – 1.6	0-1
21 Nov, 12:30	Manchester City v FulhamPremier League	48% No	1.8 – 0.8	1-0
21 Nov, 15:00	Chelsea v Leeds UnitedPremier League	47% No	1.4 – 1.1	1-0
22 Nov, 14:00	Hull v BrightonPremier League	47% No	1.0 – 1.5	0-1
23 Nov, 20:00	Brentford v EvertonPremier League	46% No	1.5 – 1.0	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Peterborough v Oxford UnitedLeague One	46% No	1.0 – 1.5	0-1
21 Nov, 15:00	Stoke v BirminghamChampionship	46% No	1.2 – 1.3	0-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Stevenage v MansfieldLeague One	45% No	1.3 – 1.2	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Wigan v BarnsleyLeague One	45% No	1.3 – 1.1	1-0
21 Nov, 15:00	Wolverhampton v CharltonChampionship	45% No	1.6 – 0.8	1-0
20 Nov, 19:45	Pen-y-Bont v HaverfordwestWelsh Premier League	44% No	1.7 – 0.8	1-0
21 Nov, 15:00	Swansea v West BromwichChampionship	44% No	1.3 – 1.2	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Colchester v GillinghamLeague Two	43% No	1.2 – 1.3	0-1
13 Nov, 19:45	Ballymena United v LinfieldIrish Premiership	42% No	1.0 – 1.4	0-1
21 Nov, 17:30	Newcastle v ArsenalPremier League	42% No	0.9 – 1.5	0-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Partick Thistle v InvernessScottish Championship	42% No	1.4 – 0.9	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Salford v NorthamptonLeague Two	42% No	1.7 – 0.7	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Kidderminster v HalifaxNational League	41% No	1.3 – 1.1	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Ayr v Raith RoversScottish Championship	41% No	1.0 – 1.3	0-1
14 Nov, 15:00	East Fife v PeterheadScottish League One	40% No	1.3 – 1.0	1-0
17 Nov, 19:45	Spennymoor v ChesterNational League North	40% No	1.0 – 1.3	0-1
13 Nov, 19:45	Glentoran v BangorIrish Premiership	40% No	1.6 – 0.7	1-0
21 Nov, 15:00	Totton v DagenhamNational League South	39% No	1.1 – 1.2	0-1
14 Nov, 15:00	Crewe v NewportLeague Two	38% No	1.2 – 1.1	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Leicester v BradfordLeague One	37% No	1.2 – 1.0	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Dunfermline v ArbroathScottish Championship	37% No	1.6 – 0.6	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Stenhousemuir v Queen's ParkScottish Championship	36% No	1.4 – 0.7	1-0
14 Nov, 15:00	Port Vale v AccringtonLeague Two	34% No	0.9 – 1.1	0-1
14 Nov, 12:30	Exeter v CheltenhamLeague Two	33% No	1.3 – 0.7	1-0

Model goals are the expected goals for each side from their attack and defence ratings; the probabilities come from a Poisson model of the scoreline. Over 50% counts as a “Yes”. These are statistical forecasts, not betting advice, and know nothing about injuries or team news.