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UK football, rugby, cricket & F1: fixtures, results and predictions

Home Win Predictions

Track record: of 414 played matches where the model called a home win, the home side won 211 (51%). How the model works →

The chance of a home win in each of the 113 upcoming fixtures we cover, from our score model, strongest first. The model calls a home win in 78 of them.

Fixtures last updated

Match Predictions BTTSOver 2.5 GoalsCorrect ScoreDrawsHome WinsAccumulator

Kick-offMatch Home winHome / draw / awayPredicted score
New Saints v TrefelinWelsh Premier League 94%94% / 4% / 1%3-0
Celtic v St. MirrenScottish Premiership 74%74% / 16% / 10%2-0
Coleraine v PortadownIrish Premiership 73%73% / 17% / 11%2-0
Cardiff Met v AmmanfordWelsh Premier League 72%72% / 16% / 11%2-0
Southampton v DerbyChampionship 72%72% / 17% / 11%2-0
West Ham v PrestonChampionship 72%72% / 16% / 13%2-1
Briton Ferry v Holywell TownWelsh Premier League 70%70% / 17% / 13%2-1
Larne v DungannonIrish Premiership 66%66% / 20% / 15%2-0
Carlisle v BostonNational League 65%65% / 18% / 16%2-1
Nottingham Women v Leicester WomenWomen’s Super League 2 65%65% / 19% / 16%2-1
Middlesbrough v Bristol CityChampionship 65%65% / 20% / 15%2-0
Shrewsbury v OldhamLeague Two 64%64% / 21% / 15%1-0
South Shields v HarboroughNational League North 64%64% / 21% / 15%1-0
Dunfermline v ArbroathScottish Championship 63%63% / 24% / 13%1-0
Wolverhampton Women v Durham WomenWomen’s Super League 2 62%62% / 18% / 21%2-1
Tonbridge v CheshamNational League South 62%62% / 19% / 18%2-1
Coventry v Crystal PalacePremier League 62%62% / 20% / 18%2-1
Glentoran v BangorIrish Premiership 61%61% / 24% / 15%1-0
Southend v AldershotNational League 61%61% / 20% / 19%2-1
Salford v NorthamptonLeague Two 60%60% / 24% / 15%1-0
Pen-y-Bont v HaverfordwestWelsh Premier League 60%60% / 24% / 16%1-0
Manchester City v FulhamPremier League 59%59% / 23% / 18%1-0
Flint Town Utd v CambrianWelsh Premier League 57%57% / 20% / 23%2-1
Sheffield United v WatfordChampionship 57%57% / 24% / 20%1-0
Wolverhampton v CharltonChampionship 57%57% / 25% / 19%1-0
East Kilbride v AlloaScottish League One 56%56% / 23% / 21%1-0
Luton v CambridgeLeague One 56%56% / 22% / 21%1-0
Milton Keynes v BurtonLeague One 56%56% / 21% / 22%2-1
West Ham Women v Charlton WomenWomen’s Super League 56%56% / 22% / 22%2-1
Tottenham Women v Everton WomenWomen’s Super League 55%55% / 21% / 23%2-1
Spalding v HebburnNational League North 54%54% / 23% / 23%1-0
Livingston v GreenockScottish Championship 53%53% / 24% / 23%1-0
Norwich v CardiffChampionship 53%53% / 20% / 27%2-1
Liverpool v Manchester UnitedPremier League 53%53% / 24% / 24%1-0
Manchester United Women v Crystal Palace WomenWomen’s Super League 52%52% / 25% / 24%1-0
Stenhousemuir v Queen's ParkScottish Championship 52%52% / 28% / 20%1-0
Rotherham v CrawleyLeague Two 52%52% / 23% / 25%2-1
Sutton v SolihullNational League 52%52% / 23% / 25%2-1
Aston Villa v SunderlandPremier League 52%52% / 25% / 23%1-0
Exeter v CheltenhamLeague Two 51%51% / 29% / 20%1-0
Brighton and Hove Women v Liverpool WomenWomen’s Super League 51%51% / 23% / 26%2-1
Chelsea Women v Manchester City WomenWomen’s Super League 50%50% / 21% / 29%2-1
Airdrieonians v Queen of the SouthScottish League One 50%50% / 24% / 27%2-1
Walsall v BarnetLeague Two 50%50% / 24% / 26%2-1
Bournemouth v NottinghamPremier League 50%50% / 25% / 25%1-0
Partick Thistle v InvernessScottish Championship 48%48% / 27% / 25%1-0
Harrogate v AltrinchamNational League 48%48% / 24% / 29%2-1
Brentford v EvertonPremier League 48%48% / 26% / 26%1-0
Dumbarton v AnnanScottish League Two 47%47% / 25% / 28%1-0
Woking v Forest GreenNational League 47%47% / 23% / 30%2-1
Fleetwood v TranmereLeague Two 47%47% / 26% / 28%1-0
Oxford City v MacclesfieldNational League North 47%47% / 25% / 27%1-0
Millwall v QPRChampionship 45%45% / 24% / 31%2-1
Hibernian v Dundee UnitedScottish Premiership 45%45% / 25% / 30%1-0
Aston Villa Women v Birmingham WomenWomen’s Super League 44%44% / 24% / 32%2-1
Bedford v ChorleyNational League North 44%44% / 25% / 31%1-0
Falkirk v St. JohnstoneScottish Premiership 44%44% / 26% / 30%1-0
Chelsea v Leeds UnitedPremier League 44%44% / 26% / 30%1-0
Leicester v BradfordLeague One 43%43% / 29% / 28%1-0
Hornchurch v TamworthNational League 43%43% / 24% / 34%2-1
Kilmarnock v AberdeenScottish Premiership 43%43% / 24% / 33%2-1
East Fife v PeterheadScottish League One 42%42% / 28% / 30%1-0
Stockport v ReadingLeague One 42%42% / 26% / 33%1-0
Hartlepool v WealdstoneNational League 42%42% / 24% / 34%2-1
Airbus UK Broughton v Colwyn BayWelsh Premier League 42%42% / 24% / 34%2-1
Tottenham v IpswichPremier League 42%42% / 26% / 32%1-0
Lincoln v WrexhamChampionship 42%42% / 25% / 33%1-0
Stevenage v MansfieldLeague One 41%41% / 27% / 32%1-0
Wigan v BarnsleyLeague One 41%41% / 27% / 32%1-0
Arsenal Women v London WomenWomen’s Super League 41%41% / 25% / 34%2-1
Kidderminster v HalifaxNational League 40%40% / 28% / 32%1-0
Truro v BillericayNational League South 40%40% / 23% / 36%2-1
Swindon v GrimsbyLeague Two 39%39% / 26% / 35%1-0
Crewe v NewportLeague Two 38%38% / 29% / 33%1-0
Rochdale v YorkLeague Two 38%38% / 23% / 38%1-2
Bolton v PortsmouthChampionship 38%38% / 25% / 37%1-0
Swansea v West BromwichChampionship 38%38% / 27% / 34%1-0
Burnley v BlackburnChampionship 38%38% / 24% / 38%2-1
Cove v MontroseScottish League One 37%37% / 26% / 37%1-0
Sheffield Wednesday v PlymouthLeague One 37%37% / 25% / 38%1-2
Edinburgh City v ClydeScottish League Two 36%36% / 23% / 41%1-2
Caernarfon v Connah's QuayWelsh Premier League 36%36% / 25% / 40%1-2
Dundee FC v Heart of MidlothianScottish Premiership 36%36% / 23% / 41%1-2
Wimbledon v BlackpoolLeague One 34%34% / 25% / 41%1-2
Colchester v GillinghamLeague Two 34%34% / 28% / 39%0-1
Stirling v Elgin CityScottish League Two 34%34% / 22% / 44%1-2
Hamilton v Ross CountyScottish League One 34%34% / 24% / 42%1-2
Crusaders v CarrickIrish Premiership 33%33% / 21% / 45%1-2
Bristol Rovers v ChesterfieldLeague Two 33%33% / 25% / 42%0-1
Forfar v SpartansScottish League Two 33%33% / 23% / 44%1-2
Watford LFC v Ipswich Town LfcWomen’s Super League 2 33%33% / 24% / 43%1-2
Stoke v BirminghamChampionship 33%33% / 27% / 40%0-1
Eastleigh v FyldeNational League 32%32% / 24% / 44%1-2
Sunderland Women v Newcastle WomenWomen’s Super League 2 32%32% / 25% / 43%0-1
Totton v DagenhamNational League South 32%32% / 29% / 39%0-1
Wycombe v HuddersfieldLeague One 31%31% / 23% / 46%1-2
Yeovil v BorehamNational League 31%31% / 22% / 47%1-2
Port Vale v AccringtonLeague Two 30%30% / 30% / 40%0-1
Llandudno v BarryWelsh Premier League 30%30% / 22% / 48%1-2
Scunthorpe v WorthingNational League 29%29% / 22% / 50%1-2
Spennymoor v ChesterNational League North 29%29% / 28% / 43%0-1
Ayr v Raith RoversScottish Championship 28%28% / 28% / 44%0-1
Ballymena United v LinfieldIrish Premiership 27%27% / 27% / 46%0-1
Peterborough v Oxford UnitedLeague One 26%26% / 26% / 48%0-1
Motherwell v RangersScottish Premiership 26%26% / 24% / 50%0-1
Bromley v NottsLeague One 25%25% / 25% / 50%0-1
Doncaster v Leyton OrientLeague One 25%25% / 25% / 50%0-1
Sheffield Women v Bristol WomenWomen’s Super League 2 25%25% / 19% / 56%1-2
Hull v BrightonPremier League 25%25% / 26% / 49%0-1
Kelty v StranraerScottish League Two 22%22% / 25% / 53%0-1
Gateshead v BarrowNational League 22%22% / 23% / 55%0-1
Burnley Women v Southampton WomenWomen’s Super League 2 22%22% / 25% / 53%0-1
Newcastle v ArsenalPremier League 22%22% / 26% / 52%0-1

Probabilities come from a Poisson model of each scoreline using both teams' attack and defence ratings (expected goals). These are statistical forecasts, not betting advice, and know nothing about injuries or team news.