Scottish Championship Run-In 2026/27

FixturesTableResultsPredictions

Tables:FormHome & AwayHalf-TimeSecond HalfBy GameweekPredictedLast Season

Stats:Goals & BTTSClean SheetsGoal TimesComebacksRecords & StreaksFixture DifficultyRun-InStadiums

Partick Thistle are the favourites for the Scottish Championship title, finishing top in 46% of 2,000 simulations.

Who is still in each Scottish Championship race, the gap to the places that decide it, and every fixture they have left, rated from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest) by our model; fixtures against a rival in the same race are outlined. Chances come from 2,000 simulations of the 111 remaining fixtures (the predicted table), from points won on the pitch, so a points deduction isn't included.

12345 1 = easiest, 5 = hardest

Title race

#	Team	Pts	+/−	Left	Finish 1st
1	Partick Thistle	28	+3	22	46%
	INV HRAI ADUN HARB AAYR HQUE HSTE ALIV HGRE AINV ARAI HDUN AARB HAYR AQUE ASTE HRAI AINV HGRE HLIV ADUN HARB A
2	Raith Rovers	25	−3	22	21%
	AYR APAR HLIV AGRE HQUE ADUN AARB HINV AAYR HSTE HPAR ALIV HGRE AQUE HARB ADUN HPAR HAYR AINV HSTE ALIV AGRE H
3	Dunfermline	25	−3	22	27%
	GRE HARB HPAR ASTE HLIV ARAI HINV AQUE HARB AAYR HGRE APAR HSTE ALIV HINV HRAI AQUE AGRE HAYR AARB HPAR ASTE H
4	Stenhousemuir	23	−5	22	2%
	QUE HARB AAYR HDUN AINV HLIV APAR HGRE HQUE ARAI AARB HAYR ADUN HINV ALIV HPAR AGRE AQUE HARB ARAI HAYR HDUN A
5	Livingston	21	−7	22	2%
	GRE HQUE ARAI HAYR ADUN HSTE HGRE APAR AINV HARB AQUE HRAI AAYR HDUN ASTE AGRE HINV AARB HQUE APAR HRAI HAYR A
6	Inverness	20	−8	22	2%
	PAR AAYR HGRE AQUE HSTE AARB ADUN HRAI HLIV APAR HAYR AGRE HQUE ASTE HDUN AARB HLIV HPAR ARAI AAYR HGRE AQUE H

+/− = points above or below the line between 1st and 2nd.

Promotion race

#	Team	Pts	+/−	Left	Top 1	2nd–4th
1	Partick Thistle	28	+7	22	46%	50%
	INV HRAI ADUN HARB AAYR HQUE HSTE ALIV HGRE AINV ARAI HDUN AARB HAYR AQUE ASTE HRAI AINV HGRE HLIV ADUN HARB A
2	Raith Rovers	25	+4	22	21%	68%
	AYR APAR HLIV AGRE HQUE ADUN AARB HINV AAYR HSTE HPAR ALIV HGRE AQUE HARB ADUN HPAR HAYR AINV HSTE ALIV AGRE H
3	Dunfermline	25	+4	22	27%	64%
	GRE HARB HPAR ASTE HLIV ARAI HINV AQUE HARB AAYR HGRE APAR HSTE ALIV HINV HRAI AQUE AGRE HAYR AARB HPAR ASTE H
4	Stenhousemuir	23	+2	22	2%	38%
	QUE HARB AAYR HDUN AINV HLIV APAR HGRE HQUE ARAI AARB HAYR ADUN HINV ALIV HPAR AGRE AQUE HARB ARAI HAYR HDUN A
5	Livingston	21	−2	22	2%	38%
	GRE HQUE ARAI HAYR ADUN HSTE HGRE APAR AINV HARB AQUE HRAI AAYR HDUN ASTE AGRE HINV AARB HQUE APAR HRAI HAYR A
6	Inverness	20	−3	22	2%	40%
	PAR AAYR HGRE AQUE HSTE AARB ADUN HRAI HLIV APAR HAYR AGRE HQUE ASTE HDUN AARB HLIV HPAR ARAI AAYR HGRE AQUE H
7	Ayr	15	−8	23	0%	2%
	RAI HINV AGRE ASTE ALIV HPAR AGRE HQUE AARB HRAI ADUN AINV HSTE HLIV APAR HGRE AQUE HARB ARAI HDUN HINV ASTE ALIV H

+/− = points above or below the line between 4th and 5th. A play-off place is not promotion: the play-offs decide it.

Relegation battle

#	Team	Pts	+/−	Left	Bottom 2
7	Ayr	15	+2	23	25%
	RAI HINV AGRE ASTE ALIV HPAR AGRE HQUE AARB HRAI ADUN AINV HSTE HLIV APAR HGRE AQUE HARB ARAI HDUN HINV ASTE ALIV H
8	Arbroath	14	+1	22	50%
	STE HDUN AQUE APAR HGRE AINV HRAI AAYR ADUN HLIV HSTE AQUE HPAR AGRE HRAI HINV AAYR HLIV ASTE HDUN AQUE APAR H
9	Greenock	13	−1	23	31%
	LIV ADUN AAYR HINV HRAI AARB HAYR ALIV HSTE APAR HQUE ADUN HINV ARAI HARB AAYR HLIV ASTE HDUN APAR AQUE HINV HRAI A
10	Queen's Park	7	−7	22	93%
	STE ALIV HARB HINV ARAI HPAR AAYR HDUN ASTE HGRE HLIV AARB AINV HRAI APAR HAYR ADUN HSTE ALIV HGRE AARB HINV A

+/− = points above or below the line between 8th and 9th. The percentage is the chance of finishing in those places, including the relegation play-off place.