Scottish League Two Run-In 2026/27
Scottish League Two — Updated 12 Nov 2026
Stranraer are the favourites for the Scottish League Two title, finishing top in 73% of 2,000 simulations.
Who is still in each Scottish League Two race, the gap to the places that decide it, and every fixture they have left, rated from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest) by our model; fixtures against a rival in the same race are outlined. Chances come from 2,000 simulations of the 115 remaining fixtures (the predicted table), from points won on the pitch, so a points deduction isn't included.
12345 1 = easiest, 5 = hardest
Title race
| # | Team | Pts | +/− | Left | Finish 1st |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 0 | 23 | 73% | |
| KEL AELG HDUM AFOR HEDI AANN HCLY AKEL HSPA HSTI AELG ADUM HFOR AEDI HKEL ACLY HANN ASPA AELG HSTI HDUM AEDI AFOR H | |||||
| 2 | 27 | 0 | 23 | 23% | |
| EDI ASTI HFOR AELG HKEL ADUM ASTR HANN AEDI HSPA ASTI AFOR HELG AKEL HANN HSTR ADUM HEDI ASTI HFOR ASPA HKEL AELG H | |||||
| 3 | 21 | −6 | 23 | 2% | |
| STI ASTR AANN HCLY ASPA HFOR HEDI ASTI HDUM AKEL HSTR HANN ACLY HSPA ASTI AEDI HFOR ADUM HSTR AANN HKEL ASPA HCLY A | |||||
| 5 | 18 | −9 | 23 | 1% | |
| FOR ADUM HKEL ASTI HELG AEDI HANN AFOR HSTR ACLY HDUM AKEL HSTI AELG HFOR AANN HEDI ASTR HKEL ADUM HCLY AELG ASTI H | |||||
+/− = points above or below the line between 1st and 2nd.
15 meetings between the contenders
- 21 Nov: Stranraer v Elgin City
- 12 Dec: Clyde v Elgin City
- 19 Dec: Elgin City v Spartans
- 2 Jan: Clyde v Stranraer
- 23 Jan: Stranraer v Spartans
- 30 Jan: Spartans v Clyde
- 6 Feb: Elgin City v Stranraer
- 20 Feb: Elgin City v Clyde
- 27 Feb: Spartans v Elgin City
- 13 Mar: Stranraer v Clyde
- 27 Mar: Spartans v Stranraer
- 3 Apr: Stranraer v Elgin City
- 17 Apr: Clyde v Spartans
- 24 Apr: Elgin City v Spartans
- 1 May: Clyde v Elgin City
Promotion race
| # | Team | Pts | +/− | Left | Top 1 | 2nd–4th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | +9 | 23 | 73% | 27% | |
| KEL AELG HDUM AFOR HEDI AANN HCLY AKEL HSPA HSTI AELG ADUM HFOR AEDI HKEL ACLY HANN ASPA AELG HSTI HDUM AEDI AFOR H | ||||||
| 2 | 27 | +9 | 23 | 23% | 75% | |
| EDI ASTI HFOR AELG HKEL ADUM ASTR HANN AEDI HSPA ASTI AFOR HELG AKEL HANN HSTR ADUM HEDI ASTI HFOR ASPA HKEL AELG H | ||||||
| 3 | 21 | +3 | 23 | 2% | 69% | |
| STI ASTR AANN HCLY ASPA HFOR HEDI ASTI HDUM AKEL HSTR HANN ACLY HSPA ASTI AEDI HFOR ADUM HSTR AANN HKEL ASPA HCLY A | ||||||
| 4 | 20 | +2 | 23 | 1% | 44% | |
| CLY HKEL HSTI AANN ASTR HSPA AELG HDUM ACLY AFOR HKEL ASTI HANN HSTR ADUM HELG ASPA HCLY HFOR AKEL HSTI ASTR HANN A | ||||||
| 5 | 18 | −2 | 23 | 1% | 57% | |
| FOR ADUM HKEL ASTI HELG AEDI HANN AFOR HSTR ACLY HDUM AKEL HSTI AELG HFOR AANN HEDI ASTR HKEL ADUM HCLY AELG ASTI H | ||||||
| 6 | 18 | −2 | 23 | 0% | 10% | |
| STR HEDI ASPA HDUM ACLY HSTI HFOR ASTR AANN HELG AEDI HSPA ADUM HCLY ASTR HFOR HSTI AANN ASPA HEDI AELG HCLY HDUM A | ||||||
| 7 | 16 | −4 | 23 | 0% | 12% | |
| ANN HSPA ASTR HKEL HFOR ACLY HSTI AEDI HELG HANN ASPA HSTR AKEL AFOR HEDI ASTI HCLY AELG AANN HSPA ASTR HFOR AKEL H | ||||||
| 8 | 15 | −5 | 23 | 0% | 6% | |
| ELG HCLY AEDI HSPA AANN HKEL ADUM HELG AFOR ASTR HCLY HEDI ASPA HANN AELG HDUM AKEL HFOR HCLY ASTR AEDI HANN HSPA A | ||||||
+/− = points above or below the line between 4th and 5th. A play-off place is not promotion: the play-offs decide it.
72 meetings between the contenders
- 14 Nov: Kelty v Stranraer
- 14 Nov: Edinburgh City v Clyde
- 14 Nov: Stirling v Elgin City
- 21 Nov: Stranraer v Elgin City
- 21 Nov: Clyde v Stirling
- 21 Nov: Edinburgh City v Kelty
- 21 Nov: Spartans v Dumbarton
- 4 Dec: Dumbarton v Stranraer
- 5 Dec: Stirling v Edinburgh City
- 5 Dec: Kelty v Spartans
- 12 Dec: Clyde v Elgin City
- 12 Dec: Spartans v Stirling
- 12 Dec: Dumbarton v Kelty
- 19 Dec: Edinburgh City v Stranraer
- 19 Dec: Kelty v Clyde
- 19 Dec: Elgin City v Spartans
- 26 Dec: Dumbarton v Clyde
- 26 Dec: Spartans v Edinburgh City
- 26 Dec: Kelty v Stirling
- 2 Jan: Clyde v Stranraer
- 2 Jan: Edinburgh City v Elgin City
- 2 Jan: Stirling v Dumbarton
- 9 Jan: Stranraer v Kelty
- 9 Jan: Elgin City v Stirling
- 9 Jan: Dumbarton v Edinburgh City
- 23 Jan: Stranraer v Spartans
- 23 Jan: Clyde v Edinburgh City
- 23 Jan: Dumbarton v Elgin City
- 30 Jan: Stirling v Stranraer
- 30 Jan: Spartans v Clyde
- 30 Jan: Elgin City v Kelty
- 6 Feb: Elgin City v Stranraer
- 6 Feb: Stirling v Clyde
- 6 Feb: Kelty v Edinburgh City
- 6 Feb: Dumbarton v Spartans
- 13 Feb: Stranraer v Dumbarton
- 13 Feb: Edinburgh City v Stirling
- 13 Feb: Spartans v Kelty
- 20 Feb: Elgin City v Clyde
- 20 Feb: Stirling v Spartans
- 20 Feb: Kelty v Dumbarton
- 27 Feb: Stranraer v Edinburgh City
- 27 Feb: Clyde v Kelty
- 27 Feb: Spartans v Elgin City
- 6 Mar: Kelty v Stranraer
- 6 Mar: Stirling v Elgin City
- 6 Mar: Edinburgh City v Dumbarton
- 13 Mar: Stranraer v Clyde
- 13 Mar: Elgin City v Edinburgh City
- 13 Mar: Dumbarton v Stirling
- 20 Mar: Clyde v Dumbarton
- 20 Mar: Edinburgh City v Spartans
- 20 Mar: Stirling v Kelty
- 27 Mar: Spartans v Stranraer
- 27 Mar: Edinburgh City v Clyde
- 27 Mar: Elgin City v Dumbarton
- 3 Apr: Stranraer v Elgin City
- 3 Apr: Clyde v Stirling
- 3 Apr: Kelty v Spartans
- 10 Apr: Stranraer v Stirling
- 10 Apr: Edinburgh City v Kelty
- 10 Apr: Spartans v Dumbarton
- 17 Apr: Dumbarton v Stranraer
- 17 Apr: Clyde v Spartans
- 17 Apr: Kelty v Elgin City
- 17 Apr: Stirling v Edinburgh City
- 24 Apr: Edinburgh City v Stranraer
- 24 Apr: Kelty v Clyde
- 24 Apr: Elgin City v Spartans
- 1 May: Clyde v Elgin City
- 1 May: Spartans v Stirling
- 1 May: Dumbarton v Kelty
Relegation battle
| # | Team | Pts | +/− | Left | Bottom |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 18 | +9 | 23 | 5% | |
| STR HEDI ASPA HDUM ACLY HSTI HFOR ASTR AANN HELG AEDI HSPA ADUM HCLY ASTR HFOR HSTI AANN ASPA HEDI AELG HCLY HDUM A | |||||
| 7 | 16 | +7 | 23 | 3% | |
| ANN HSPA ASTR HKEL HFOR ACLY HSTI AEDI HELG HANN ASPA HSTR AKEL AFOR HEDI ASTI HCLY AELG AANN HSPA ASTR HFOR AKEL H | |||||
| 8 | 15 | +6 | 23 | 10% | |
| ELG HCLY AEDI HSPA AANN HKEL ADUM HELG AFOR ASTR HCLY HEDI ASPA HANN AELG HDUM AKEL HFOR HCLY ASTR AEDI HANN HSPA A | |||||
| 9 | 12 | +3 | 23 | 25% | |
| SPA HANN ACLY HSTR ADUM HELG AKEL HSPA ASTI HEDI AANN HCLY ASTR HDUM ASPA HKEL AELG HSTI AEDI HCLY HANN ADUM HSTR A | |||||
| 10 | 9 | −3 | 23 | 57% | |
| DUM AFOR HELG AEDI HSTI ASTR ASPA HCLY HKEL ADUM HFOR AELG HEDI ASTI HCLY ASPA ASTR HKEL HDUM AELG AFOR HSTI AEDI H | |||||
+/− = points above or below the line between 9th and 10th. The percentage is the chance of finishing in those places, including the relegation play-off place.
25 meetings between the contenders
- 14 Nov: Dumbarton v Annan
- 21 Nov: Annan v Forfar
- 12 Dec: Dumbarton v Kelty
- 19 Dec: Forfar v Dumbarton
- 19 Dec: Stirling v Annan
- 26 Dec: Kelty v Stirling
- 2 Jan: Forfar v Kelty
- 2 Jan: Stirling v Dumbarton
- 23 Jan: Kelty v Annan
- 23 Jan: Forfar v Stirling
- 30 Jan: Annan v Dumbarton
- 6 Feb: Forfar v Annan
- 20 Feb: Kelty v Dumbarton
- 27 Feb: Dumbarton v Forfar
- 27 Feb: Annan v Stirling
- 13 Mar: Kelty v Forfar
- 13 Mar: Dumbarton v Stirling
- 20 Mar: Stirling v Kelty
- 27 Mar: Annan v Kelty
- 27 Mar: Stirling v Forfar
- 3 Apr: Dumbarton v Annan
- 17 Apr: Annan v Forfar
- 24 Apr: Forfar v Dumbarton
- 24 Apr: Stirling v Annan
- 1 May: Dumbarton v Kelty
