Middlesbrough are 2nd in the table on 21 points from 10 games (6 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost, goals 20–14), last 5: WWDDW. Cardiff are 19th in the table on 10 points from 10 games (2 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost, goals 16–15), last 5: WLWLD. 17 places separate them before kick-off.
Middlesbrough
2 – 1572221
Most likely score
Cardiff
Prediction
Most likely score
Middlesbrough 2 –
1 Cardiff
57%22%21%
Middlesbrough winDrawCardiff win
The single most likely scoreline, not a result. The bar is the chance of a home win, draw or away win.
Form Guide
Last 5 league games, latest first. O/U 2.5 = games with 3+ goals · BTTS = both teams scored · CS = clean sheets.
Middlesbrough
WWDDWW
4W 2D 0L • avg 2.2 scored, 1.5 conceded
O/U 2.5: 4/6BTTS: 4/6CS: 2/6
Cardiff
WLWLDL
2W 1D 3L • avg 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded
O/U 2.5: 3/6BTTS: 4/6CS: 0/6
Middlesbrough's attacking output (1.83 goals per game) faces a Cardiff side that has conceded 1.5 per game. Home advantage amplifies this edge — the hosts look well placed to dictate the tempo and find the net.
Middlesbrough host Cardiff in strong home form, having won four and drawn one of their last five at the Riverside, scoring 12 and conceding 7. Overall they are unbeaten in six, with 11 goals scored and two clean sheets. Will Lankshear leads their scorers with two. Cardiff have struggled away, losing four of their last five and conceding nine, while Cian Ashford has two of their six recent goals. The model predicts a 2-1 home win.
1 – 2Predicted
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Preston