Championship Predicted Table 2026/27
Championship — Updated 12 Nov 2026
Southampton are projected to win the 2026/27 Championship, finishing top in 37% of 2,000 simulations and averaging 85 points. Birmingham, currently 1st, are 2nd in the projection on 84 points.
Where every club is likely to finish, from 2,000 simulations of the 372 Championship fixtures still to play. Each match is played out with our score model (the one behind our match predictions), which rates teams on goals scored and conceded, adjusted for the opponents faced and weighted to recent matches, and knows nothing about injuries, transfers or managers. It starts from the points won on the pitch, so a points deduction isn't included. How the model works →
| # | Team | Proj. pts | Finish 1st | Top 2 | 3rd–8th | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Now 4th, 28 pts | 85 | 37% | 59% | 40% | 0% |
| 2 | Now 1st, 29 pts | 84 | 27% | 51% | 46% | 0% |
| 3 | Now 2nd, 29 pts | 83 | 20% | 40% | 55% | 0% |
| 4 | Now 6th, 28 pts | 77 | 5% | 14% | 65% | 0% |
| 5 | Now 3rd, 29 pts | 74 | 2% | 7% | 60% | 0% |
| 6 | Now 9th, 23 pts | 74 | 3% | 8% | 58% | 0% |
| 7 | Now 12th, 21 pts | 73 | 3% | 8% | 59% | 0% |
| 8 | Now 5th, 28 pts | 73 | 1% | 6% | 55% | 0% |
| 9 | Now 7th, 26 pts | 72 | 2% | 5% | 47% | 0% |
| 10 | Now 8th, 24 pts | 68 | 1% | 2% | 35% | <1% |
| 11 | Now 10th, 22 pts | 66 | <1% | 1% | 22% | <1% |
| 12 | Now 11th, 22 pts | 65 | <1% | 1% | 18% | <1% |
| 13 | Now 14th, 18 pts | 64 | <1% | 1% | 15% | <1% |
| 14 | Now 13th, 21 pts | 62 | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% |
| 15 | Now 16th, 18 pts | 61 | <1% | <1% | 8% | 1% |
| 16 | Now 15th, 18 pts | 60 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 1% |
| 17 | Now 18th, 17 pts | 56 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 7% |
| 18 | Now 21st, 15 pts | 55 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| 19 | Now 17th, 18 pts | 52 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 15% |
| 20 | Now 19th, 17 pts | 48 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 32% |
| 21 | Now 20th, 15 pts | 47 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 37% |
| 22 | Now 22nd, 10 pts | 44 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 52% |
| 23 | Now 23rd, 10 pts | 44 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 59% |
| 24 | Now 24th, 8 pts | 37 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 88% |
Proj. pts = average points across the simulations. Percentages are the share of simulations in which the club finished in that place range, matching the zones on the table; clubs level on points, goal difference and goals are split at random.