Scottish League One Run-In 2026/27
Scottish League One — Updated 12 Nov 2026
Ross County are the favourites for the Scottish League One title, finishing top in 98% of 2,000 simulations.
Who is still in each Scottish League One race, the gap to the places that decide it, and every fixture they have left, rated from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest) by our model; fixtures against a rival in the same race are outlined. Chances come from 2,000 simulations of the 112 remaining fixtures (the predicted table), from points won on the pitch, so a points deduction isn't included.
12345 1 = easiest, 5 = hardest
Title race
| # | Team | Pts | +/− | Left | Finish 1st |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | +5 | 22 | 98% | |
| HAM ACOV HEFI HALL AAIR AMON HPET AEKI HQUE HCOV AALL HEFI AHAM HMON APET HEKI AQUE AAIR HCOV HALL AHAM AEFI H | |||||
| 2 | 33 | −5 | 22 | 2% | |
| ROS HQUE AEKI HPET AALL HAIR HEFI AQUE HMON APET HEKI ACOV HROS AALL AMON HAIR AEKI HPET AEFI HCOV AROS HQUE A | |||||
+/− = points above or below the line between 1st and 2nd.
3 meetings between the contenders
- 14 Nov: Hamilton v Ross County
- 27 Feb: Ross County v Hamilton
- 24 Apr: Hamilton v Ross County
Promotion race
| # | Team | Pts | +/− | Left | Top 1 | 2nd–4th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | +22 | 22 | 98% | 2% | |
| HAM ACOV HEFI HALL AAIR AMON HPET AEKI HQUE HCOV AALL HEFI AHAM HMON APET HEKI AQUE AAIR HCOV HALL AHAM AEFI H | ||||||
| 2 | 33 | +17 | 22 | 2% | 98% | |
| ROS HQUE AEKI HPET AALL HAIR HEFI AQUE HMON APET HEKI ACOV HROS AALL AMON HAIR AEKI HPET AEFI HCOV AROS HQUE A | ||||||
| 3 | 21 | +5 | 24 | <1% | 97% | |
| COV AALL HPET AHAM AEFI HCOV AMON AQUE HAIR AROS ACOV HEFI AHAM HALL APET HAIR HQUE AROS HHAM AEFI HALL HPET AMON HCOV A | ||||||
| 4 | 20 | +4 | 22 | 0% | 50% | |
| COV AALL HQUE AAIR HEKI HROS ACOV HEFI AHAM HALL APET AQUE HAIR AROS HHAM AEFI HCOV AALL HPET HQUE AEKI AAIR H | ||||||
| 5 | 16 | −4 | 22 | 0% | 20% | |
| QUE HEFI APET HMON AROS HHAM AEKI HCOV AALL HQUE AEFI HPET AMON HEKI ACOV HHAM HALL AROS AQUE HEFI APET HMON A | ||||||
| 6 | 15 | −5 | 22 | 0% | 6% | |
| PET HAIR HROS AEKI ACOV HALL AHAM HMON HPET AEKI HAIR AROS HQUE ACOV AALL HMON APET HEKI AHAM AAIR HQUE HROS A | ||||||
| 9 | 12 | −8 | 22 | 0% | 4% | |
| EKI AMON ACOV HROS HHAM AEFI HQUE APET HAIR AMON HROS AEKI HCOV AHAM HEFI AQUE HAIR HMON AEKI AROS HCOV HPET A | ||||||
| 10 | 12 | −8 | 24 | 0% | 22% | |
| EKI HMON HROS AALL AQUE HEKI HEFI APET HMON AAIR HEKI AROS HQUE AHAM AALL HEFI HAIR APET AMON HQUE HROS AHAM HALL AEKI H | ||||||
+/− = points above or below the line between 4th and 5th. A play-off place is not promotion: the play-offs decide it.
70 meetings between the contenders
- 24 Oct: Cove v East Kilbride
- 14 Nov: East Kilbride v Alloa
- 14 Nov: Cove v Montrose
- 14 Nov: Hamilton v Ross County
- 21 Nov: Ross County v Cove
- 21 Nov: East Fife v Airdrieonians
- 21 Nov: Montrose v Alloa
- 5 Dec: Ross County v East Fife
- 5 Dec: Hamilton v East Kilbride
- 5 Dec: Alloa v Cove
- 12 Dec: Alloa v Ross County
- 12 Dec: Montrose v Airdrieonians
- 12 Dec: East Kilbride v East Fife
- 15 Dec: Cove v East Kilbride
- 19 Dec: Airdrieonians v Ross County
- 19 Dec: Hamilton v Alloa
- 19 Dec: Montrose v East Kilbride
- 19 Dec: East Fife v Cove
- 23 Dec: Ross County v Montrose
- 23 Dec: Alloa v East Fife
- 26 Dec: Hamilton v Airdrieonians
- 2 Jan: East Fife v Hamilton
- 2 Jan: Airdrieonians v East Kilbride
- 2 Jan: Montrose v Cove
- 9 Jan: Ross County v East Kilbride
- 9 Jan: East Fife v Montrose
- 9 Jan: Cove v Airdrieonians
- 23 Jan: Montrose v Hamilton
- 23 Jan: East Kilbride v Cove
- 23 Jan: Airdrieonians v Alloa
- 30 Jan: Cove v Ross County
- 30 Jan: East Fife v East Kilbride
- 30 Jan: Alloa v Montrose
- 13 Feb: Ross County v Alloa
- 13 Feb: East Kilbride v Hamilton
- 13 Feb: Airdrieonians v East Fife
- 20 Feb: East Fife v Ross County
- 20 Feb: Hamilton v Cove
- 20 Feb: Alloa v East Kilbride
- 27 Feb: Ross County v Hamilton
- 27 Feb: Airdrieonians v Montrose
- 27 Feb: Cove v Alloa
- 6 Mar: Montrose v Ross County
- 6 Mar: Alloa v Hamilton
- 6 Mar: East Kilbride v Airdrieonians
- 6 Mar: Cove v East Fife
- 13 Mar: Hamilton v Montrose
- 13 Mar: Airdrieonians v Cove
- 13 Mar: East Fife v Alloa
- 20 Mar: East Kilbride v Ross County
- 20 Mar: Airdrieonians v Hamilton
- 20 Mar: Montrose v East Fife
- 27 Mar: Hamilton v East Kilbride
- 27 Mar: Cove v Montrose
- 27 Mar: Alloa v Airdrieonians
- 3 Apr: Ross County v Airdrieonians
- 3 Apr: East Kilbride v East Fife
- 3 Apr: Montrose v Alloa
- 10 Apr: Ross County v Cove
- 10 Apr: Hamilton v East Fife
- 10 Apr: East Kilbride v Alloa
- 17 Apr: Alloa v Ross County
- 17 Apr: Cove v Hamilton
- 17 Apr: East Fife v Airdrieonians
- 24 Apr: Hamilton v Ross County
- 24 Apr: East Kilbride v Montrose
- 24 Apr: Alloa v Cove
- 1 May: Ross County v East Fife
- 1 May: Cove v East Kilbride
- 1 May: Montrose v Airdrieonians
Relegation battle
| # | Team | Pts | +/− | Left | Bottom 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 16 | +4 | 22 | 8% | |
| QUE HEFI APET HMON AROS HHAM AEKI HCOV AALL HQUE AEFI HPET AMON HEKI ACOV HHAM HALL AROS AQUE HEFI APET HMON A | |||||
| 6 | 15 | +3 | 22 | 25% | |
| PET HAIR HROS AEKI ACOV HALL AHAM HMON HPET AEKI HAIR AROS HQUE ACOV AALL HMON APET HEKI AHAM AAIR HQUE HROS A | |||||
| 7 | 13 | +1 | 22 | 58% | |
| EFI AEKI HAIR AHAM HQUE ACOV AROS HALL AEFI HHAM AMON HAIR HEKI AQUE HROS ACOV HEFI AHAM HMON AEKI HAIR AALL H | |||||
| 8 | 13 | +1 | 22 | 64% | |
| AIR AHAM HMON HCOV APET HEKI AALL HHAM AROS AAIR HCOV HMON AEFI HPET AEKI HALL AROS HCOV AAIR AMON HEFI AHAM H | |||||
| 9 | 12 | −1 | 22 | 35% | |
| EKI AMON ACOV HROS HHAM AEFI HQUE APET HAIR AMON HROS AEKI HCOV AHAM HEFI AQUE HAIR HMON AEKI AROS HCOV HPET A | |||||
| 10 | 12 | −1 | 24 | 8% | |
| EKI HMON HROS AALL AQUE HEKI HEFI APET HMON AAIR HEKI AROS HQUE AHAM AALL HEFI HAIR APET AMON HQUE HROS AHAM HALL AEKI H | |||||
+/− = points above or below the line between 8th and 9th. The percentage is the chance of finishing in those places, including the relegation play-off place.
36 meetings between the contenders
- 14 Nov: Airdrieonians v Queen of the South
- 14 Nov: East Fife v Peterhead
- 21 Nov: East Fife v Airdrieonians
- 5 Dec: Airdrieonians v Peterhead
- 5 Dec: Alloa v Cove
- 12 Dec: Cove v Queen of the South
- 19 Dec: East Fife v Cove
- 19 Dec: Queen of the South v Peterhead
- 23 Dec: Alloa v East Fife
- 26 Dec: Cove v Peterhead
- 2 Jan: Queen of the South v Alloa
- 9 Jan: Cove v Airdrieonians
- 9 Jan: Alloa v Peterhead
- 23 Jan: Airdrieonians v Alloa
- 23 Jan: Peterhead v East Fife
- 30 Jan: Queen of the South v Airdrieonians
- 13 Feb: Airdrieonians v East Fife
- 13 Feb: Queen of the South v Cove
- 20 Feb: Peterhead v Airdrieonians
- 27 Feb: Queen of the South v East Fife
- 27 Feb: Cove v Alloa
- 6 Mar: Cove v East Fife
- 6 Mar: Peterhead v Queen of the South
- 13 Mar: Airdrieonians v Cove
- 13 Mar: East Fife v Alloa
- 20 Mar: Peterhead v Cove
- 20 Mar: Alloa v Queen of the South
- 27 Mar: Alloa v Airdrieonians
- 27 Mar: East Fife v Peterhead
- 3 Apr: Cove v Queen of the South
- 10 Apr: Airdrieonians v Queen of the South
- 17 Apr: East Fife v Airdrieonians
- 24 Apr: Airdrieonians v Peterhead
- 24 Apr: East Fife v Queen of the South
- 24 Apr: Alloa v Cove
- 1 May: Peterhead v Alloa
