National League Predicted Table 2026/27
National League — Updated 12 Nov 2026
Boreham Wood are projected to win the 2026/27 National League, finishing top in 97% of 2,000 simulations and averaging 103 points. Southend United are next on 79 points (1%).
Where every club is likely to finish, from 2,000 simulations of the 358 National League fixtures still to play. Each match is played out with our score model (the one behind our match predictions), which rates teams on goals scored and conceded, adjusted for the opponents faced and weighted to recent matches, and knows nothing about injuries, transfers or managers. It starts from the points won on the pitch, so a points deduction isn't included. How the model works →
| # | Team | Proj. pts | Finish 1st | 2nd–7th | Bottom 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Now 1st, 44 pts | 103 | 97% | 3% | 0% |
| 2 | Now 3rd, 29 pts | 79 | 1% | 82% | 0% |
| 3 | Now 4th, 29 pts | 79 | 1% | 83% | 0% |
| 4 | Now 6th, 28 pts | 78 | 1% | 78% | 0% |
| 5 | Now 8th, 26 pts | 78 | <1% | 80% | 0% |
| 6 | Now 2nd, 32 pts | 76 | <1% | 69% | 0% |
| 7 | Now 5th, 28 pts | 76 | <1% | 70% | 0% |
| 8 | Now 7th, 28 pts | 70 | 0% | 35% | <1% |
| 9 | Now 9th, 25 pts | 69 | 0% | 31% | <1% |
| 10 | Now 10th, 24 pts | 68 | 0% | 27% | <1% |
| 11 | Now 16th, 19 pts | 64 | 0% | 12% | 2% |
| 12 | Now 12th, 21 pts | 64 | 0% | 11% | 1% |
| 13 | Now 13th, 21 pts | 63 | 0% | 10% | 2% |
| 14 | Now 11th, 24 pts | 61 | 0% | 5% | 3% |
| 15 | Now 15th, 21 pts | 59 | 0% | 3% | 7% |
| 16 | Now 14th, 21 pts | 56 | 0% | 1% | 15% |
| 17 | Now 20th, 17 pts | 56 | 0% | 1% | 17% |
| 18 | Now 18th, 18 pts | 55 | 0% | 1% | 19% |
| 19 | Now 17th, 19 pts | 53 | 0% | 1% | 27% |
| 20 | Now 19th, 18 pts | 52 | 0% | <1% | 30% |
| 21 | Now 21st, 15 pts | 50 | 0% | <1% | 40% |
| 22 | Now 23rd, 10 pts | 46 | 0% | 0% | 65% |
| 23 | Now 22nd, 13 pts | 45 | 0% | 0% | 73% |
| 24 | Now 24th, 4 pts | 27 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Proj. pts = average points across the simulations. Percentages are the share of simulations in which the club finished in that place range, matching the zones on the table; clubs level on points, goal difference and goals are split at random.