National League Run-In 2026/27
National League — Updated 12 Nov 2026
Who is still in each National League race, the gap to the places that decide it, and every fixture they have left, rated from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest) by our model; fixtures against a rival in the same race are outlined. Chances come from 2,000 simulations of the 358 remaining fixtures (the predicted table), from points won on the pitch, so a points deduction isn't included.
12345 1 = easiest, 5 = hardest
Promotion race
| # | Team | Pts | +/− | Left | Top 1 | 2nd–7th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44 | +18 | 29 | 97% | 3% | |
| YEO ASOU AALD HGAT HSUT HALT AWEA HHOR AFYL AWOK HHAL HALD ATAM ASOU HSOL HKID AHAR ASCU HFOR HBOS AWOR HCAR AEAS HHOR HWEA AHAR AYEO HBAR HGAT A | ||||||
| 2 | 32 | +6 | 30 | <1% | 69% | |
| ALT HWOR AKID HYEO HSOU AWOK HHOR AHAL HBOS ASUT ACAR HWEA HKID ASOL AWOR HEAS AHAR HBOR HFYL ABAR AALD HGAT ASCU HTAM ABOS HHAL AFOR HALT ASOU HYEO A | ||||||
| 3 | 29 | +3 | 30 | 1% | 82% | |
| ALD HBOR HFOR AHAR AHAR HBOS HFYL AHOR HSUT AHAL AWOR HSCU AFOR HALT HBOR ABAR AEAS HGAT HTAM ASOL HKID AWOK HYEO ACAR HSUT HHOR AWEA HALD AHAR AHAR H | ||||||
| 4 | 29 | +3 | 29 | 1% | 83% | |
| EAS AKID AHAL HALD HSCU ASOU HBAR AGAT HBOR HHAR ATAM HHAL AWEA AKID HBOS HCAR AALT AHAR HWOK HFOR ASOL HWOR AYEO HGAT ABAR HHOR AEAS HSUT HALD A | ||||||
| 5 | 28 | +2 | 30 | <1% | 70% | |
| BOR HFOR HEAS AHAR AHAR HWEA HBOS ASUT HWOK AALT AHOR HCAR AEAS HSCU HFOR AKID HWOR ASOL AALD HGAT ABAR HTAM ASOU HFYL AWOK HSUT AHAL HBOR AHAR AHAR H | ||||||
| 6 | 28 | +2 | 30 | 1% | 78% | |
| SCU AHAR HWOK AALT ABOS HSOL AGAT HEAS AALD HKID HSOU AFOR AWOK HCAR HHAR AHAL AYEO HHAR HHOR AWEA ATAM HBOR AFYL HBAR AALD AEAS HSUT ASCU HBOS AALT H | ||||||
| 7 | 28 | +2 | 30 | 0% | 35% | |
| HAR ASOL AWEA HWOR HTAM AALD ABOR HSCU ABAR HYEO HKID ASUT HWEA ASOU ASOL HHOR AGAT HFYL HHAR ABOS HHAL AFOR HEAS AWOK HBAR ASCU HCAR AHAR HTAM HWOR A | ||||||
| 8 | 26 | −2 | 29 | <1% | 80% | |
| BOS HBAR ATAM HSUT HKID AALD HGAT AHAR HSOL HHAR AYEO HTAM AWOR ABAR HWOK AFYL HEAS HFOR AHOR AWEA HSCU ABOR HSOU AHAR AGAT HALT HBOS AHAL HSUT A | ||||||
+/− = points above or below the line between 7th and 8th. A play-off place is not promotion: the play-offs decide it.
35 meetings between the contenders
- 14 Nov: Yeovil v Boreham
- 14 Nov: Harrogate v Altrincham
- 20 Nov: Southend v Boreham
- 21 Nov: Worthing v Harrogate
- 28 Nov: Harrogate v Yeovil
- 28 Nov: Altrincham v Worthing
- 5 Dec: Southend v Harrogate
- 18 Dec: Fylde v Southend
- 19 Dec: Altrincham v Boreham
- 2 Jan: Fylde v Boreham
- 2 Jan: Altrincham v Yeovil
- 9 Jan: Harrogate v Carlisle
- 9 Jan: Southend v Worthing
- 23 Jan: Carlisle v Yeovil
- 30 Jan: Southend v Altrincham
- 30 Jan: Worthing v Carlisle
- 6 Feb: Boreham v Southend
- 6 Feb: Harrogate v Worthing
- 16 Feb: Carlisle v Fylde
- 17 Feb: Worthing v Yeovil
- 20 Feb: Harrogate v Boreham
- 20 Feb: Altrincham v Fylde
- 23 Feb: Fylde v Harrogate
- 9 Mar: Boreham v Worthing
- 13 Mar: Carlisle v Boreham
- 13 Mar: Yeovil v Southend
- 13 Mar: Worthing v Fylde
- 20 Mar: Southend v Carlisle
- 20 Mar: Fylde v Yeovil
- 3 Apr: Carlisle v Altrincham
- 10 Apr: Boreham v Yeovil
- 10 Apr: Altrincham v Harrogate
- 17 Apr: Harrogate v Southend
- 24 Apr: Yeovil v Harrogate
- 24 Apr: Worthing v Altrincham
Relegation battle
| # | Team | Pts | +/− | Left | Bottom 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 19 | +4 | 30 | 27% | |
| FYL HTAM AYEO HHAL HSOL AHOR HWOK AWOR HWEA ABOS AFOR HKID HYEO AGAT ATAM HHAR HSOU ACAR ASUT HSCU AHAR HALD AALT HBOR AWEA HWOR ABAR HFYL ASOL HHAL A | |||||
| 18 | 18 | +3 | 30 | 19% | |
| HAR AHOR HALT ASCU AWOK HYEO ABAR HBOR AEAS HALD HSOL AHAR AALT HFYL HHOR AGAT AFOR HTAM HHAL AWOR HCAR ASUT HKID ABOS HEAS ABOR HSOU AHAR HWOK ASCU H | |||||
| 19 | 18 | +3 | 30 | 30% | |
| CAR ASUT ABAR HKID HWOR ASOU AYEO HHAR AHAR HEAS HGAT ASOL HBAR AALD ASUT HFYL AHAL HFOR HWOK AALT ABOR HHOR ATAM HWEA AHAR AHAR HSCU ACAR HWOR HKID A | |||||
| 20 | 17 | +2 | 30 | 17% | |
| HOR AEAS HCAR AFOR AALT HBAR AHAR HSOL AKID HGAT HSCU AFYL ACAR HBOR HEAS AALD HSUT AWEA ASOU HHAL HWOR AYEO HBOS AHAR HKID ASOL HWOK AHOR HALT AFOR H | |||||
| 21 | 15 | −2 | 30 | 40% | |
| WEA HGAT ASOL HSOU HYEO AFOR HTAM ABOS HCAR AHOR AFYL HALD HSOL ABAR AGAT HSCU HHAR AWOR AALT HSUT HEAS AHAL HWOK AKID HCAR HBOS ABOR HWEA AYEO HSOU A | |||||
| 22 | 13 | −4 | 30 | 73% | |
| SUT AALT HHAR AHOR AEAS HWOR HHAL ATAM HFOR ACAR AWEA HBOS AHAR HHAR HALT ABOR AWOK HYEO HBAR ASOU ASCU HFYL AGAT HALD AFOR HTAM AKID ASUT HEAS AHOR H | |||||
| 23 | 10 | −7 | 30 | 65% | |
| WOR HALD AGAT HWEA HFYL HFOR AALT HHAL AWOK AFOR HTAM HSOU HGAT AYEO AALD HHAR ABAR HHOR HBOR AEAS HSOL ACAR HHAR ASUT HHAL HALT ABOS HWOR AKID HWEA A | |||||
| 24 | 4 | −13 | 30 | 100% | |
| BAR HHAR HSCU ABOR AHOR HHAL HWOR ACAR HFYL ATAM ABOS HWOK ASCU HEAS HHAR AWEA HALT ASOU AKID HYEO HSUT AHAR HSOL AFOR HFYL HCAR AALD HBAR AHOR ABOR H | |||||
+/− = points above or below the line between 20th and 21st. The percentage is the chance of finishing in those places.
38 meetings between the contenders
- 14 Nov: Hartlepool v Wealdstone
- 21 Nov: Tamworth v Eastleigh
- 21 Nov: Gateshead v Hartlepool
- 24 Nov: Scunthorpe v Gateshead
- 25 Nov: Hartlepool v Solihull
- 27 Nov: Scunthorpe v Wealdstone
- 5 Dec: Solihull v Eastleigh
- 19 Dec: Tamworth v Hartlepool
- 26 Dec: Hartlepool v Boston
- 26 Dec: Solihull v Tamworth
- 29 Dec: Wealdstone v Eastleigh
- 2 Jan: Boston v Eastleigh
- 2 Jan: Tamworth v Gateshead
- 9 Jan: Solihull v Wealdstone
- 9 Jan: Gateshead v Boston
- 9 Jan: Scunthorpe v Tamworth
- 23 Jan: Boston v Solihull
- 26 Jan: Solihull v Hartlepool
- 26 Jan: Gateshead v Scunthorpe
- 30 Jan: Gateshead v Eastleigh
- 6 Feb: Eastleigh v Tamworth
- 6 Feb: Hartlepool v Gateshead
- 13 Feb: Gateshead v Wealdstone
- 13 Feb: Hartlepool v Scunthorpe
- 20 Feb: Wealdstone v Tamworth
- 27 Feb: Scunthorpe v Eastleigh
- 6 Mar: Eastleigh v Hartlepool
- 6 Mar: Solihull v Scunthorpe
- 13 Mar: Boston v Tamworth
- 13 Mar: Solihull v Gateshead
- 20 Mar: Wealdstone v Boston
- 26 Mar: Eastleigh v Wealdstone
- 29 Mar: Boston v Hartlepool
- 29 Mar: Tamworth v Solihull
- 3 Apr: Scunthorpe v Boston
- 10 Apr: Wealdstone v Hartlepool
- 17 Apr: Eastleigh v Solihull
- 24 Apr: Wealdstone v Scunthorpe
