Premier League Predicted Table 2026/27
Premier League — Updated 12 Nov 2026
Arsenal are projected to win the 2026/27 Premier League, finishing top in 59% of 2,000 simulations and averaging 79 points. Brighton are next on 76 points (34%).
Where every club is likely to finish, from 2,000 simulations of the 280 Premier League fixtures still to play. Each match is played out with our score model (the one behind our match predictions), which rates teams on goals scored and conceded, adjusted for the opponents faced and weighted to recent matches, and knows nothing about injuries, transfers or managers. It starts from the points won on the pitch, so a points deduction isn't included. How the model works →
| # | Team | Proj. pts | Finish 1st | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Now 1st, 27 pts | 79 | 59% | 0% |
| 2 | Now 2nd, 22 pts | 76 | 34% | 0% |
| 3 | Now 3rd, 21 pts | 67 | 6% | 0% |
| 4 | Now 4th, 18 pts | 62 | 1% | <1% |
| 5 | Now 7th, 15 pts | 57 | <1% | 1% |
| 6 | Now 5th, 16 pts | 56 | <1% | 1% |
| 7 | Now 8th, 14 pts | 56 | <1% | 1% |
| 8 | Now 6th, 16 pts | 53 | <1% | 2% |
| 9 | Now 10th, 13 pts | 52 | <1% | 5% |
| 10 | Now 9th, 14 pts | 52 | 0% | 3% |
| 11 | Now 13th, 11 pts | 47 | 0% | 12% |
| 12 | Now 14th, 11 pts | 47 | 0% | 13% |
| 13 | Now 11th, 12 pts | 46 | 0% | 15% |
| 14 | Now 17th, 9 pts | 46 | 0% | 17% |
| 15 | Now 16th, 9 pts | 45 | 0% | 17% |
| 16 | Now 12th, 12 pts | 45 | 0% | 23% |
| 17 | Now 18th, 8 pts | 44 | 0% | 24% |
| 18 | Now 15th, 10 pts | 44 | 0% | 25% |
| 19 | Now 19th, 8 pts | 40 | 0% | 51% |
| 20 | Now 20th, 7 pts | 31 | 0% | 91% |
Proj. pts = average points across the simulations. Percentages are the share of simulations in which the club finished in that place range, matching the zones on the table; clubs level on points, goal difference and goals are split at random.